Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.012186 0.014844 0.018193 0.022828 0.029243 0.038089 0.051749
2025-02-23 0.008871 0.011787 0.015967 0.022723 0.034096 0.054135 0.097177
2025-03-02 0.006975 0.009741 0.014017 0.021639 0.036303 0.067429 0.157022
2025-03-09 0.005875 0.008514 0.012838 0.021171 0.039121 0.084368 0.262622
2025-03-16 0.005231 0.007837 0.012335 0.021665 0.044154 0.112463 0.516214
2025-03-23 0.004687 0.007205 0.011738 0.021729 0.048279 0.144464 1.058453
2025-03-30 0.004144 0.006482 0.010813 0.020768 0.049161 0.167238 1.953957
2025-04-06 0.003750 0.005964 0.010179 0.020279 0.051240 0.200935 4.586093
2025-04-13 0.003517 0.005705 0.010008 0.020860 0.057324 0.274634 27.533807
2025-04-20 0.003393 0.005630 0.010199 0.022448 0.068637 0.438903 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003237 0.005470 0.010174 0.023446 0.078865 0.679588 NaN
2025-05-04 0.003037 0.005198 0.009851 0.023466 0.084816 0.945061 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002832 0.004920 0.009531 0.023629 0.093521 1.517113 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002632 0.004632 0.009148 0.023515 0.101400 2.515744 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002411 0.004272 0.008530 0.022379 0.101491 3.373707 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002245 0.004014 0.008127 0.021889 0.106124 5.555061 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002140 0.003876 0.008003 0.022406 0.120340 15.859012 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002028 0.003710 0.007783 0.022474 0.131566 56.598408 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001890 0.003472 0.007333 0.021467 0.130693 124.668725 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001782 0.003294 0.007022 0.020956 0.134979 845.593310 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001721 0.003214 0.006972 0.021564 0.154936 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001693 0.003210 0.007135 0.023226 0.197334 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001648 0.003161 0.007159 0.024272 0.238038 NaN NaN